After doing an initial analysis of around 20 stocks last three months. Patni Computers (Ticker : PTI) passed my sign test that consisted of following questions:Q1: Does the company have a solid business copy?A1: Yes the affiliate is a innovate in the abstain growing IT outsourcing sector. It was established in 1979 and since then has grown organically and developed a vast pool of talented offshore resources that have mastered the onshore / offshore model of outsourcing. Q2. What is the company's culture A2. Company's senior executives desire Vijay Khare. Satish Joshi. Sattawala. Ajay Chamania undergo been with the company for over twenty years. This gives an indication of a close knit corporate culture that has passion for the company. Q3. Does the Chairman have more than 10% stake in the affiliate?A3. Yes. Q4. Is the stock selling at a reject compared to its peers?A4. Yes its P/E and price / Book value is less than that of its peers. My next step in analyzing a have is to do an in depth chew over of its income statement operating change flow and cash move from investments for the last five years. Following cerebrate has the details of the income statements cash flow statements from 2002 to 2006Revenues : Patni's revenues are divided into two segments.(i) Revenues earned from GE and(ii) Revenues earned other than GE. While forecasting the future revenues we can anticipate the revenues from GE to be stable. Note from its 20-F report on revenues Revenues:1. Our revenues were $578.9 million in 2006 representing an change magnitude of 28.5% from revenues of $450.3 million in 2005. Revenues from existing customers contributed $529.8 million and new customers contributed $49.1 million to our revenues. This represented an increase of 28.2% in revenues from existing customers and increase of 32.0% in revenues from new customers compared to 2005.2. Growth in revenues was attributable to an change magnitude of 18.1% in the be billed person-months from work performed at both our offshore and onsite locations.3. Onsite work measured in billed-person months increased 11.3% in 2006 compared to 2005 while offshore work increased 21.7% over the same period. We increased our client relationships to 239 as of December 31. 2006 from 199 as of December 31. 2005. In addition the total number of clients that individually accounted for over $1.0 million in annual revenues increased to 74 as of December 31. 2006 from 61 as of December 31. 2005.4. During 2006 our revenues from T&M projects increased by 40.0% over revenues in 2005 while revenues from fixed price contracts increased by 11.8% over the same period. T&M projects accounted for 64.8% of our revenues in 2006 compared to 59.5% in 2005 mainly because 75.4% of our new business was billed on a T&M basis.5. Our client concentration as measured by the harmonise of revenue generated from our top ten clients decreased to 53.1% in 2006 from 59.3% in 2005. General Electric our largest client contributed 14.6% of our revenues in 2006 compared to 22.1% in 2005.6. During 2006 clients in the insurance manufacturing telecommunications and financial services industries continued to alter a large harmonise of our revenues. Revenues from clients in these industries in 2006 increased by 7.7%. 27.1%. 58.6% and 22.4% compared to 2005 and contributed 23.2%. 21.7%. 18.9% and 15.3% to overall revenues as compared to 27.7%. 21.9%,15.3% and 16.0% in 2005. Our other industries practice contributed 6.7% and 6.5% of our revenues in 2006 and 2005. Our ISV practice contributed 4.1% and 5.0% of our revenues in 2006 and 2005 and our product engineering practice contributed 10.1% and 7.5% of our revenues in 2006 and 2005.7. During 2006 we continued to conclude a significant harmonise of our revenues from clients located in the United States. In 2006 and 2005 we derived 80.8% and 84.8% of our revenues from clients located in the United States. Revenues from these clients grew by 22.5% in 2006 while revenues from clients in other regions grew by 62.1% in the same period. Revenue forecasts for next 5 years : GE Revenues - to be stable around $95mn. Revenues from existing customers : (assuming an change magnitude of 20% per year and base of $530mn in 2006)2007.................. $636.00 2008.................. $763.202009.................. $915.84 2010................. $1,099.01 2011.................. $1,318.81 Revenues from new customers: (assuming an increase of 25% per year and base of $49mn)2007...............$61.25 2008...............$76.56 2009................$95.70 2010................$119.63 2011.................$149.54be expected revenues : 2007.................$697.25 2008.................$839.76 2009...............$1,011.54 2010...............$1,218.64 2011...............$1,468.35Cost of revenues : From the 20-F report it is evident that the be of revenues has remained somewhat constant. It was 62%. 64.1% and 63.9% for 2004. 2005 and 2006 respectively. Assuming an appreciating rupee and declining dollar. I would add 5% to.
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http://annualreportanalysis.blogspot.com/2007/09/patnis-earnings-estimates-for-next-five_19.html
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